Stock market today: Trade setup for Nifty 50, Trump tariffs, Q1 results today; Eight stocks to buy or sell on Monday

As we kick off the new trading week on Monday, August 4, 2025, the Indian stock market finds itself at a crucial juncture, balancing between global uncertainties and earnings optimism. Amid pressure from geopolitical developments such as U.S. tariffs and ongoing central bank policies, the focus shifts to key technical levels and selective stock opportunities.
Weekly Recap: Nifty and Sectoral Performance
During the week ending August 1, 2025, the benchmark Nifty-50 index slipped more than 1%, settling at 24,565.35, weighed down by Trump tariff concerns and global trade uncertainty. The Bank Nifty, too, closed lower at 55,617.60. Among sectoral performers:
Underperformers: Realty and Pharma bore the brunt of the sell-off.
Outperformers: FMCG and Industrials bucked the trend and showed resilience.
Mid and Small Caps: Faced substantial pressure amid broader market weakness.
Trade Setup for Monday
According to Sudeep Shah of SBI Securities:
Immediate Support (Nifty 50): 24,400–24,350 zone.
Resistance: 50-day EMA at 24,900–24,950.
Bank Nifty Support Zone: 55,200–55,100.
A break below support could intensify the downside, while a sustained move above resistance may indicate a short-term reversal.
Global Market Influence & Q1 Earnings
Volatility is likely to remain elevated this week with:
Central bank policy cues
Corporate earnings announcements
Geopolitical headlines around U.S. trade policies
Ajit Mishra of Religare Broking advises a defensive stance in the near term, favoring accumulation of fundamentally strong stocks on dips. Sectors like IT and Metals, sensitive to global volatility, should be approached cautiously.
Eight Stocks to Buy or Sell Today (Monday)
Top technical analysts have handpicked these stocks for potential intraday gains:
Sumeet Bagadia’s Picks (Choice Broking)
CCL Products (India) Ltd – BUY
CMP: ₹894
Target: ₹957
Stop Loss: ₹862
Reason: Bullish candlestick near breakout from ascending triangle.
Trent Ltd – BUY
CMP: ₹5,180
Target: ₹5,550
Stop Loss: ₹5,000
Reason: Breakout from consolidation with strong volumes.
Ganesh Dongre’s Picks (Anand Rathi)
Biocon Ltd – BUY
CMP: ₹383
Target: ₹405
Stop Loss: ₹370
Reason: Reversal from support, strong bullish momentum.
Marico Ltd – BUY
CMP: ₹711
Target: ₹725
Stop Loss: ₹700
Reason: Rebounding from support, positive price setup.
CMP: ₹1,478
Target: ₹1,540
Stop Loss: ₹1,450
Reason: Bullish trend, reversal from solid support.
Shiju Koothupalakkal’s Picks (Prabhudas Lilladher)
TVS Motor Company Ltd – BUY
CMP: ₹2,858
Target: ₹2,970
Stop Loss: ₹2,500
Reason: Rebound from 50 EMA, RSI showing bullish reversal.
CMP: ₹363.85
Target: ₹382
Stop Loss: ₹355
Reason: Pullback from 200 MA, good volume support.
Waaree Energies Ltd – BUY
CMP: ₹3,104
Target: ₹3,250
Stop Loss: ₹3,045
Reason: Strong pickup from 50 EMA, bullish RSI setup.
Outlook: Stay Disciplined Amid Uncertainty
Given the prevailing technical weakness, external macro risks, and upcoming Q1 results, a cautious but opportunistic approach is advised. Traders should stick to disciplined risk management, proper stop-loss levels, and focus on stock-specific movements rather than broader index bets.