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Netflix delivers solid 4th quarter, but stock sinks amid worries about slowing subscriber growth

Netflix delivers solid 4th quarter, but stock sinks amid worries about slowing subscriber growth

Netflix closed the year with a strong financial performance, yet investor sentiment turned cautious as signs of slowing subscriber growth overshadowed the company’s impressive fourth-quarter results. Despite beating Wall Street expectations on revenue and profit, the streaming giant’s stock slid sharply, reflecting concerns about whether Netflix’s rapid expansion era is beginning to cool.

Strong Financial Finish to the Year

In its fourth-quarter earnings announcement, Netflix reported results that exceeded market projections. The company posted a profit of $2.4 billion, or 56 cents per share, marking a 29% increase compared to the same period last year. Revenue climbed 18% year-over-year to more than $12 billion, underscoring Netflix’s continued ability to monetize its global audience.

The platform ended the year with more than 325 million subscribers worldwide, adding approximately 23 million users since 2024. While this growth remains substantial by industry standards, it represents a notable slowdown compared to the 41 million subscribers added during 2024.

Slowing Subscriber Growth Raises Red Flags

The deceleration in subscriber additions has amplified investor concerns that Netflix’s growth may be peaking. Much of the earlier surge was driven by the introduction of a low-priced, advertising-supported tier in 2022, which significantly broadened the service’s appeal. As that momentum eases, the market is increasingly focused on how Netflix plans to sustain long-term growth.

Management’s outlook added to the unease. Netflix forecast profits for the January–March period below analysts’ expectations and projected that revenue growth would taper from 16% in 2025 to around 12%–14% this year, even as advertising revenue is expected to double.

“Overall, this points to a challenging start to the year,” said Investing.com analyst Thomas Monteiro.

High-Stakes Battle for Warner Bros. Discovery

Beyond subscriber trends, much of the market’s attention has shifted to Netflix’s contested $72 billion bid to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery. The deal would bring Warner Bros.’ movie studio and HBO Max into Netflix’s streaming lineup, significantly reshaping the competitive landscape.

The bidding war has intensified, with Paramount also vying for Warner Bros. Discovery. In a strategic move to simplify negotiations and appeal to shareholders, Netflix recently converted its offer into an all-cash deal. While Warner Bros. Discovery has reiterated its commitment to the Netflix agreement, Paramount has shown no signs of backing down and could still enhance its counteroffer.

Regulatory and Market Uncertainty

Adding to the uncertainty, Netflix must also convince U.S. regulators that integrating HBO into the country’s largest streaming service will not stifle competition or drive prices higher. This regulatory scrutiny, combined with the ongoing bidding battle, has weighed heavily on investor confidence.

Netflix’s shares fell nearly 5% in extended trading following the earnings release and are down about 20% since the Warner Bros. Discovery deal was announced last month. The company does not expect the acquisition to close until Warner Bros. Discovery completes the spin-off of its cable TV business, a process expected to take six to nine months.

Leadership Stays Defiant Amid Competition

During the earnings call, Netflix co-CEO Ted Sarandos struck a confident tone, drawing parallels to past competitive battles. Recalling how Netflix overcame rivals such as Walmart and the now-defunct Blockbuster during its DVD-by-mail days, Sarandos emphasized the company’s resilience. “We are no strangers to competition and we are no strangers to change,” he said.

Looking Ahead

Despite near-term challenges, Netflix’s leadership remains optimistic. “We are energized as ever to achieve our mission to entertain the world,” Sarandos stated. While the company’s financial foundation remains strong, the coming months will be critical as Netflix navigates slowing subscriber growth, an intense acquisition battle, and heightened regulatory scrutiny. How effectively it manages these pressures will likely determine whether investor confidence rebounds or continues to waver through the year ahead.

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